Archive for October, 2008

Can the post office really consider itself a bank?

Friday, October 31st, 2008

Post offices in many countries around the world offer a range of banking services these days, but are they really up to it?

Typically a small post office will have one counter to do everything. That works well when “everything” is mainly posting letters and parcels which take a few minutes to process.

Add on banking services and you’re into a whole different league in terms of the time that it takes to process a transaction though. For one thing, opening an account takes ages and delays everything. OK, it’s not something that happens every day but it happens fairly frequently: I spent getting on for an hour in a queue in a post office today which ended up snaking right round the available space and out the door because two people were opening accounts.

The problem really stems from the practice of governments to consider post offices in country villages to be a “good thing” and therefore worthy of support. That in turn leads to them being considered a job creation scheme so, of course, you wouldn’t want to add too much automation into them as then you wouldn’t create so many jobs. What automation that there is often is counter-productive: posting my three letters took nearly five minutes because the stamps had to be scanned in and destinations entered into the computer.

So, no, I don’t know that it’s really true to say that many post offices could be considered banks.

Copyright 2008-2010 by Financial Perspectives. All rights reserved.

Will the interest rate drop help YOU?

Wednesday, October 29th, 2008

Interest rate changes by central banks are peculiar affairs.

For one thing, the banks aren’t actually obliged to respond by lowering interest rates although, usually, they do so by a similar amount. It’s usually a similar amount rather than exactly the same amount though which affects people differently: it’s common for banks to drop interest rates on savings accounts by a little more than the cut the central bank announces and loan rates by no more than is announced.

That sounds like they’re ripping you off, and to some extent they are, but what kicks in is the effect of their own administration on the processing of the loans and savings. Even if the central bank cut rates to zero, there would still be a charge for loans as that represents a risk to the bank, and savings rates would drop to zero or possibly a little below that as obviously there is a cost to processing savings too (they’d probably introduce charges rather than negative interest rates).

High interest products tend to represent higher risks so the rates on those aren’t always cut at all following a rate cut announcement.

And, of course, if you’ve a fixed rate loan then the payments on that will stay the same.

Copyright 2008-2010 by Financial Perspectives. All rights reserved.

Americans both vacationing and buying in France despite the weak dollar

Monday, October 27th, 2008

Although you’d think that there would be fewer Americans travelling abroad these days with the weak dollar, it seems to be the opposite that’s true. Not only are they travelling abroad more, but they’re considering purchasing property abroad too which is relatively unusual as well.

The dollar makes for a really serious price rise from the American perspective. Take the example of a property notionally priced at €800,000. Not so long ago that would have equated to around $1,000,000 but these days it’s a lot closer to $1,400,000 which is one serious price rise by any measure.

But even on the much smaller scale of vacation spending there’s quite a significant effect on costs if your income is in dollars. Typically this means that Americans on vacation in Europe need to downgrade the quality of accommodation that they use during their travels and we’ve noticed a significant shift towards the use of hostel reservation systems which wouldn’t normally generate much American business.

On the other side of the coin this, of course, means that property in America is pretty cheap for Europeans at the moment and it’s quite common to see American property promoted in European markets currently. If only I’d a few dollars to spare, I’d be quite tempted to buy a vacation rental property over there at the moment as the current strong euro/weak dollar isn’t what one would normally expect ie there’s going to be a swing back the other way in due course.

Copyright 2008-2010 by Financial Perspectives. All rights reserved.

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